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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 01 Sep 2012, 16:52 
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Mais longtemps pressenti et c'est le meilleur pari pour Warner.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 12 Sep 2012, 21:24 
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Quelques pronos de HitFix :

“Cloud Atlas”
Opening: Oct. 26
Best Picture – Unclear. Right now it’s in my 10 possible nominees, but the Academy could go either way with this one. If it’s a hit, it’s in.
Actor – Tom Hanks – The Academy would really have to dislike ‘Atlas’ for the two-time winner not to make it. He’s simply the best performance in the movie.
Supporting Actor – Jim Broadbent – The Oscar winner is getting a lot of pre-release hype for his work here. Not sure he'll stick.
Supporting Actor – Ben Winshaw – If Academy members fall for ‘Atlas’ Winshaw could be its biggest awards season benefactor.
Adapted Screenplay – Along with best actor the season’s most competitive category. People who have read the book say the script makes the film’s easier to understand. That makes it a 'maybe.'
Editing – Very solid chance here even if it doesn’t get a best picture nod.
Cinematography – The fact two DP’s (John Toll, Frank Griebe) were able to work together so seamlessly may make them a lock with their peers.
Production Design – Seems like a very sure bet.
Original Score – The score is tied to the film’s storyline (The Clout Atlas Sextet) and it’s a memorable one at that. Whether three credits hurt its chances remains to be seen.
Costumes - There may be two costume designers (neither have been nominated previously), but the scope of their combined work is remarkable.
Hair and Makeup – It’s biggest competition is likely studio stablemate ‘The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” for the win.
Sound Effects Editing – Likely.
Sound – Likely.
Visual Effects – Is there anything groundbreaking? No. Do the effect houses get credit for keeping a consistent style for the all the different eras? Maybe. Will it depend on all the little effects used to help the actors play multiple roles we don’t know about? Likely.

“Silver Linings Playbook”
Opening: Nov. 21
Best Picture – Let’s be honest, The Weinstein Company did not expect such a euphoric reaction to ‘Playbook’ from Toronto. There are concerns that it may be too slight for the Academy, but I don’t believe that at all. Unless it’s a box office bomb, it’s in.
Director – David O. Russell’s ability to balance the humor with the film’s more serious themes about psychological recovery should find him nominated by his peers, but he’ll have to knock ‘Amour’s’ Michael Haneke and a bunch of other prominent names out of the final five to do it.
Actor – Bradley Cooper – It’s certainly the best performance of his career, but that doesn’t mean he makes the cut in this competitive field. It doesn’t help that he’s a tad overshadowed by…
Actress – Jennifer Lawerence - …his co-star’s remarkable turn. Not only is Lawrence a lock here, she could easily win.
Supporting Actor – Robert De Niro – It’s the legend’s best performance (at least that will be seen by anyone) in at least a decade. And he hasn’t been recognized since ‘Cape Fear’ 20 years ago. ‘Just sayin.
Adapted Screenplay – Not sure. With this category probably only ‘Argo’ is a lock right now.
Editing – Tough, but possible.

“Quartet”
Opening: Dec. 28 (limited release)
Supporting Actress – Pauline Collins – Probably a reach, but they are going for it. We’ll see.

“Argo”
Opening: Oct. 12
Best Picture – Yes.
Director – Yes.
Supporting Actor – Alan Arkin – Yes.
Supporting Actor – Bryan Cranston – Not as much of a longshot as you’d think.
Adapted Screenplay – Yes.
Editing – Yes.
Cinematography – Likely, but not a lock for a nod.
Production Design – It should be, but this category is actually somewhat competitive this year.
Original Score – Possible. It’s certainly deserving.
Costumes – Probably not flashy enough to get in. Contemporary period movies rarely get recognized anymore.
Hair and Makeup – Really impressive styling throughout the movie, but probably tough to make a three-nominee field.

“The Impossible”
Opening: Dec. 21 (limited release)
Best Picture – The reaction is strong and those who love, really love it. That should get it in.
Director – Juan Antonio Bayona will probably be fighting David O. Russell, Joe Wright, Michael Haneke, Tom Hooper, Quetin Tarantino and Gus Van Sant for the final slot. Eke.
Actor – Tom Holland – What a wonderful and talented young actor. He’d have a better shot in supporting (hint, hint).
Actress – Naomi Watts – She should make it in, but she’s gonna have to wow the SAG nom-com Q&A’s.
Supporting Actor – Ewan McGregor – Fantastic performance. Needs to have the industry embrace the movie to make the cut.
Adapted Screenplay – Probably on the outside looking in.
Editing – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 1.
Cinematography – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 2.
Production Design – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 3.
Original Score – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 4.
Hair and Makeup – The injury makeup is pretty brutal, but they’ll have to knock 'Lincoln' or 'Cloud Atlas' out of the three-nominee field.
Sound Effects Editing – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 5.
Sound – It should, but it’s not a lock, pt. 6.

“End of Watch”
Opening: Sept. 21
Actor – Jake Gyllenhaal – A previous nominee for ‘Brokeback Mountain,’ this is probably Gyllenhaal’s second best performance of his career. With a field this competitive he’s gonna need to do a lot of campaigning or have someone fall flat on their face.
Supporting Actor – Michael Pena – This could finally be the industry veteran’s time to shine.
Original Screenplay – Has an excellent shot. Need to get that screener out there early.
Editing - A fine candidate, unlikely to happen.
Cinematography – Sounds strange, but the on-actor cameras will hurt its chances.


“Anna Karenina”
Opening: Nov. 26 (limited release)
Best Picture – Probably.
Director – Should be a given, but if we assume Lee, Affleck, Spielberg, Anderson are in than Joe Wright has to pass David O. Russell, Hooper, Tarantino and Van Sant to make the cut. Yikes.
Actress – Keira Knightley – Unclear. The love for the movie is less about her performance and more about Wright’s vision. That probably doesn't help her cause.
Supporting Actor – Jude Law – One of his better turns in some time. If he’d campaign he might crack it.
Adapted Screenplay – It’s going to be too hard to crack this field. Even with former winner and legend Tom Stoppard as your screenwriter.
Editing – Right now gut says no.
Cinematography – Seamus McGarvey’s sole nomination has been for ‘Atonement’ in 2008. That year’s Oscar went to Robert Elswit for ‘There Will Be Blood.’ Five years later it may be Elswit to blocks McGarvey from cracking the category.
Production Design – One of those ‘if it doesn’t get nominated the Academy has lost it’s mind’ nominees.
Original Score – Dario Marianelli seems to save his best stuff for Wright. He’s been nominated 2 out of the three times he’s worked with him and he won for ‘Atonement.’ He’s done another marvelous job here. That should be enough to get in.
Costumes – Hell yes.
Hair and Makeup – Focus is gonna try with this one, but likely not gonna make it.

“The Perks of Being a Wallflower”
Opening: Sept. 21 (limited release)
Actor – Logan Lerman – Breakthrough performance will probably find Lerman at the Independent Spirit Awards and not the Oscars this time around.
Supporting Actor – Ezra Miller – Does Summit know what they have here? I ran into four different industry types (two name actors and two production execs) in Toronto who raved about how talented they think Miller is and how he’s the ‘next big thing.’ And only one of them had seen his great work in ‘Perks.’ They should campaign him if they can. He could make it in.
Adapted Screenplay – If only this category had 7-8 nominees. Chbosky deserves to make it, but it would be a major surprise if he made the cut.

“The Master”
Opening: Sept. 14 (limited release)
Best Picture – Baring some bizarre backlash, probably..
Director – See above.
Actor – Joaquin Phoenix – Should make it in. Not sure he can win.
Supporting Actress – Amy Adams – Should make it in. Could be between her and ‘Les Miz’s’ Hathaway for the win.
Supporting Actor – Philip Seymour Hoffman – Will make it. Could be between him and Arkin for the win.
Original Screenplay – Yes.
Editing – Yes.
Cinematography – Yes.
Production Design – Eh, possibly.
Costumes – Probably not.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 18 Sep 2012, 13:01 
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La France enverra Intouchables plutôt que l'Audiard.

Pas étonnant vu le succès du crowd-pleaser qui sera backé par Weinstein outre-Atlantique.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 18 Sep 2012, 23:25 
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Re-topo :

1. Argo
The clear frontrunner and it hasn't even played in Hollywood yet. That's what happens when you make a great movie Mr. Affleck. Deep breaths.

2. Silver Linings Playbook
Might not have a shot at winning, but it's going to be a big crowd pleasing hit and it will absolutely land a best picture nomination.

3. Lincoln
Spielberg. Daniel Day-Lewis. The Civil War. And, if 'War Horse' can make the field...

4. Les Miserables
Tom Hooper don't fail us now! There hasn't been a movie musical best picture nominee since 'Chicago' way back in 2003 (don't get me started on the 'Dreamgirls' snub). Can this operatic tuner break the string?

5. The Master
It will win either LAFCA or NYFCC, shoot it may win both. It will be on more top 10 lists than any other film this year. It's in.

6. The Impossible
Tearjerker. Amazing production. Strong performances. Summit needs to let a few contenders fall and then really kick this off hard at AFI Fest.

7. Life of Pi
Huge Ang Lee fan here, but I'm wary after Tom Rothman's resignation Friday. 'Pi' was his baby and this seems too coincidentally timed to be announced before the NYFF opening night premiere. Is the film so esoteric it won't play to audiences? Fingers crossed it works.

8. Promised Land
Mostly speculation, but its clear Focus thinks they have something special on their hands. They wouldn't be doing a last minute Dec. release if the thought this was 'We Bought A Zoo.'

9. Moonrise Kingdom
Anderson's biggest hit. Rave reviews. Academy friendly cast. Focus just has to push it as hard as 'Promised Land.'

10. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Just how passionate is its fan base? Can both 'Moonrise' and 'Beasts' make the cut?


On the outside looking in:

Cloud Atlas
Very clear divide among critics. Curious what the reaction will be at the first official Academy screening. Would love to sit in on that one.

Amour
Just don't buy it. As many people are underwhelmed as those who love it. Emmanuelle Riva has a much better shot at landing a nomination than the picture does right now.

Anna Karenina
Needs some real critical support upon release. If Focus campaigns hard with the BAFTA contingent they might have a shot.

Zero Dark Thirty
We just don't know enough yet. Could easily crash the party, but is there enough time for a campaign?

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Too long ago? Too slight? Too predictable? Too competitive a year?

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 19 Sep 2012, 13:01 
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Surpris de voir Les Bêtes du sud sauvage si loin... Sinon grosse montée sur Argo depuis quelques jours.


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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 19 Sep 2012, 13:36 
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Et c'est pas forcément bon pour lui d'être en tête si tôt. C'est l'effet festoche.

Le truc aussi, c'est que beaucoup de candidats potentiels sortent tard (le Hooper, le Bigelow, le Tarantino).

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 19 Sep 2012, 19:03 
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A perdre la raison représentera la Belgique aux Oscars...

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 01 Oct 2012, 18:13 
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Et le présentateur sera Seth MacFarlane!

Créateur, scénariste et interpète (doubleur) de la série Family Guy et le film Ted pour ceux qui ne connaissent pas.
Sa prestation remarquée récente au Saturday Night Live pourrait avoir joué.

Sans doute le choix le plus excitant depuis Hugh Jackman. Pour un résultat aussi bon j'espère.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 01 Oct 2012, 18:34 
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Ah oui ça peut être excellent

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 01 Oct 2012, 19:23 
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Hey c'est cool ça, je vais peut-être regarder cette année !

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 01 Oct 2012, 22:33 
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Film Freak a écrit:
Et le présentateur sera Seth MacFarlane!

Créateur, scénariste et interpète (doubleur) de la série Family Guy et le film Ted pour ceux qui ne connaissent pas.



Il se tape la mère des dragons (Emilia Clarke) en prime ! :evil:

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 03 Oct 2012, 13:24 
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Echos très positifs pour le Ang Lee, catapulté dans la course.

Last week Ang Lee's long awaited adaptation of the popular novel "Life of Pi" opened the 50th New York Film Festival to wide critical acclaim. Richard Corliss of Time called it "a giant leap forward" for filmmaking. Todd McCarthy of The Hollywood Reporter referred to it as "gorgeous and accomplished." Justin Chang of Variety was less enthusiastic, but praised the epic as a "harrowing high-seas adventure." HitFix's own Kris Tapley called it "affecting" and praised its "univeralist heart." At the same time, Tapley also noted the picture's clunky first act and having seen now recently seen "Pi" i have to agree with him.

Make no mistake, however, Lee has cooked up more of his trademarked cinematic magic in this water bound epic. One of cinema's greatest living filmmakers, Lee has an eye his peers would die for and his first venture into 3D is much more impressive than Scorsese's overrated "Hugo" last year. He'd aided by a superb turn by newcomer Suraj Sharma as Pi, fantastic cinematography by Claudio Miranda ("Tron: Legacy," "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button") and an unexpectedly gorgeous score by Mychel Danna ("Moneyball," "500 Days of Summer"). "Pi" will move many inside and outside the Academy and it could be a rare box office breakout because it is just so original. Unfortunately, the film is bookended by scenes featuring an older Pi (a fine Irrfan Khan) telling his unbelievable story to a struggling writer looking for something to put to paper (Rafe Spall with a damn subtle but distinct Canadian accent). Even hours after having seen "Pi" the journey still resonates strongly, but the modern day sequences feel more and more out of place. It's a credit to Lee that the middle portion of the film carries a viewer's satisfaction and some of the more passionate responses make it clear "Pi" should be a long term awards season and Oscar player.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 03 Oct 2012, 13:58 
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Oh surprise


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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 18 Oct 2012, 17:52 
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Bon bah Phoenix aura pas l'Oscar :

"I'm just saying that I think it's bullshit. I think it's total, utter bullshit, and I don't want to be a part of it. I don't believe in it. It's a carrot, but it's the worst-tasting carrot I've ever tasted in my whole life. I don't want this carrot. It's totally subjective. Pitting people against each other...It's the stupidest thing in the whole world. It was one of the most uncomfortable periods of my life when 'Walk the Line' was going through all the awards stuff and all that. I never want to have that experience again. I don't know how to explain it—and it's not like I'm in this place where I think I'm just above it—but I just don't ever want to get comfortable with that part of things."

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 Sujet du message: Re: Oscars 2013
MessagePosté: 18 Oct 2012, 19:24 
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Léo a écrit:
On dit quoi de Marion Cotillard in Rust and bone là-bas ?

Et Riva en lice, c'est ça ? J'ai bien lu ?

Les deux sont pour le moment dans les 5 pressenties (pour la nomination).
En tête pour la potentielle victoire, Jennifer Lawrence dans le nouveau David O. Russell.

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